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Can Mac Studio M2 Ultra 192GB run DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-14B?

Apple · 192 GB LPDDR5 · 800 GB/s bandwidth · DeepSeek · 14.8B · model ctx up to 128K

Yes — the Mac Studio M2 Ultra 192GB (192 GB LPDDR5) can run DeepSeek-R1-Distill-Qwen-14B. At Q4 with the default 8K context it needs ≈ 12.1 GB VRAM (weights 8.14 GB + KV cache 2.96 GB + 1 GB runtime overhead), which fits within 192 GB. Decode at Q4/8K: ≈ 34.4 tok/s (estimated, batch 1). FP16 (≈ 33.56 GB) also fits, at ≈ 9.5 tok/s (estimated). Estimates come from memory-bandwidth math; rows tagged measured override estimates. Relative ranking is more reliable than absolute tok/s. Methodology.

Fit & speed by quant and context

QuantContextVRAM neededFits?tok/s (decode)
Q44K10.62 GBYes34.4 est.
Q48K default12.1 GBYes34.4 est.
Q432K20.98 GBYes34.4 est.
FP164K32.08 GBYes9.5 est.
FP168K default33.56 GBYes9.5 est.
FP1632K42.44 GBYes9.5 est.

Fits = weights + KV(ctx) + 1 GB overhead ≤ 95% of VRAM. Measured anchors are context-agnostic; the fit verdict is recomputed per context. A missing tok/s means the model is far beyond this card (offload-only territory).

VRAM breakdown at 8K context

QuantWeightsKV cacheOverheadTotal neededMac Studio M2 Ultra 192GB VRAM
Q48.14 GB2.96 GB1 GB12.1 GB192 GB
FP1629.6 GB2.96 GB1 GB33.56 GB192 GB

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