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Can Mac Studio M2 Ultra 192GB run Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct-2507?

Apple · 192 GB LPDDR5 · 800 GB/s bandwidth · Alibaba · 30.5B (active 3B) · MoE · model ctx up to 256K

Yes — the Mac Studio M2 Ultra 192GB (192 GB LPDDR5) can run Qwen3-30B-A3B-Instruct-2507. At Q4 with the default 8K context it needs ≈ 18.38 GB VRAM (weights 16.78 GB + KV cache 0.6 GB + 1 GB runtime overhead), which fits within 192 GB. Decode at Q4/8K: ≈ 169.7 tok/s (estimated, batch 1). FP16 (≈ 62.6 GB) also fits, at ≈ 46.7 tok/s (estimated). Estimates come from memory-bandwidth math; rows tagged measured override estimates. Relative ranking is more reliable than absolute tok/s. Methodology.

Fit & speed by quant and context

QuantContextVRAM neededFits?tok/s (decode)
Q44K18.08 GBYes169.7 est.
Q48K default18.38 GBYes169.7 est.
Q432K20.18 GBYes169.7 est.
FP164K62.3 GBYes46.7 est.
FP168K default62.6 GBYes46.7 est.
FP1632K64.4 GBYes46.7 est.

Fits = weights + KV(ctx) + 1 GB overhead ≤ 95% of VRAM. Measured anchors are context-agnostic; the fit verdict is recomputed per context. A missing tok/s means the model is far beyond this card (offload-only territory).

VRAM breakdown at 8K context

QuantWeightsKV cacheOverheadTotal neededMac Studio M2 Ultra 192GB VRAM
Q416.78 GB0.6 GB1 GB18.38 GB192 GB
FP1661.0 GB0.6 GB1 GB62.6 GB192 GB

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