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Can Mac mini M4 Pro 64GB run Llama-3.1-70B-Instruct?

Apple · 64 GB LPDDR5X · 273 GB/s bandwidth · Meta · 70.6B · model ctx up to 128K

Yes — the Mac mini M4 Pro 64GB (64 GB LPDDR5X) can run Llama-3.1-70B-Instruct. At Q4 with the default 8K context it needs ≈ 53.83 GB VRAM (weights 38.83 GB + KV cache 14.0 GB + 1 GB runtime overhead), which fits within 64 GB. Decode at Q4/8K: ≈ 5.0 tok/s (measured, batch 1). FP16 needs ≈ 156.2 GB — does not fit on this card. Estimates come from memory-bandwidth math; rows tagged measured override estimates. Relative ranking is more reliable than absolute tok/s. Methodology.

Fit & speed by quant and context

QuantContextVRAM neededFits?tok/s (decode)
Q44K46.83 GBYes5.0 measured
Q48K default53.83 GBYes5.0 measured
Q432K95.83 GBNo5.0 measured
FP164K149.2 GBNo0.4 est.
FP168K default156.2 GBNo0.3 est.
FP1632K198.2 GBNo0.2 est.

Fits = weights + KV(ctx) + 1 GB overhead ≤ 95% of VRAM. Measured anchors are context-agnostic; the fit verdict is recomputed per context. A missing tok/s means the model is far beyond this card (offload-only territory).

VRAM breakdown at 8K context

QuantWeightsKV cacheOverheadTotal neededMac mini M4 Pro 64GB VRAM
Q438.83 GB14.0 GB1 GB53.83 GB64 GB
FP16141.2 GB14.0 GB1 GB156.2 GB64 GB

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